课程信息
4.6
1,206 个评分
159 个审阅
专项课程

第 3 门课程(共 5 门)

100% 在线

100% 在线

立即开始,按照自己的计划学习。
可灵活调整截止日期

可灵活调整截止日期

根据您的日程表重置截止日期。
完成时间(小时)

完成时间大约为9 小时

建议:4 weeks of study, 1-3 hours/week...
可选语言

英语(English)

字幕:英语(English), 巴西葡萄牙语

您将获得的技能

ModelingRiskMicrosoft ExcelSimulation
专项课程

第 3 门课程(共 5 门)

100% 在线

100% 在线

立即开始,按照自己的计划学习。
可灵活调整截止日期

可灵活调整截止日期

根据您的日程表重置截止日期。
完成时间(小时)

完成时间大约为9 小时

建议:4 weeks of study, 1-3 hours/week...
可选语言

英语(English)

字幕:英语(English), 巴西葡萄牙语

教学大纲 - 您将从这门课程中学到什么

1
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 2 小时

Week 1: Modeling Decisions in Low Uncertainty Settings

This module is designed to teach you how to analyze settings with low levels of uncertainty, and how to identify the best decisions in these settings. You'll explore the optimization toolkit, learn how to build an algebraic model using an advertising example, convert the algebraic model to a spreadsheet model, work with Solver to discover the best possible decision, and examine an example that introduces a simple representation of risk to the model. By the end of this module, you'll be able to build an optimization model, use Solver to uncover the optimal decision based on your data, and begin to adjust your model to account for simple elements of risk. These skills will give you the power to deal with large models as long as the actual uncertainty in the input values is not too high....
Reading
4 个视频 (总计 60 分钟), 2 个阅读材料, 1 个测验
Video4 个视频
1.1 How To Build an Optimization Model: Hudson Readers Ad Campaign13分钟
1.2 Optimizing with Solver, and Alternative Data Inputs26分钟
1.3 Adding Risk: Managing Investments at Epsilon Delta Capital18分钟
Reading2 个阅读材料
PDFs of Slides for Week 110分钟
Excel Files for Week 110分钟
Quiz1 个练习
Week 1: Modeling in Low Uncertainty Quiz20分钟
2
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 2 小时

Week 2: Risk and Reward: Modeling High Uncertainty Settings

What if uncertainty is the key feature of the setting you are trying to model? In this module, you'll learn how to create models for situations with a large number of variables. You'll examine high uncertainty settings, probability distributions, and risk, common scenarios for multiple random variables, how to incorporate risk reduction, how to calculate and interpret correlation values, and how to use scenarios for optimization, including sensitivity analysis and the efficient frontier. By the end of this module, you'll be able to identify and use common models of future uncertainty to build scenarios that help you optimize your business decisions when you have multiple variables and a higher degree of risk. ...
Reading
3 个视频 (总计 51 分钟), 2 个阅读材料, 1 个测验
Video3 个视频
2.2 Common Scenarios for Multiple Random Variables, Risk Reduction, and Calculating and Interpreting Correlation Values18分钟
2.3 Using Scenarios for Optimizing Under High Uncertainty, Sensitivity Analysis and Efficient Frontier15分钟
Reading2 个阅读材料
PDFs of Lecture Slides for Week 210分钟
Excel Files for Week 210分钟
Quiz1 个练习
Week 2: Modeling in High Uncertainty Quiz20分钟
3
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 2 小时

Week 3: Choosing Distributions that Fit Your Data

When making business decisions, we often look to the past to make predictions for the future. In this module, you'll examine commonly used distributions of random variables to model the future and make predictions. You'll learn how to create meaningful data visualizations in Excel, how to choose the the right distribution for your data, explore the differences between discrete distributions and continuous distributions, and test your choice of model and your hypothesis for goodness of fit. By the end of this module, you'll be able to represent your data using graphs, choose the best distribution model for your data, and test your model and your hypothesis to see if they are the best fit for your data....
Reading
4 个视频 (总计 81 分钟), 2 个阅读材料, 1 个测验
Video4 个视频
3.2, pt 1: Choosing Among Distributions: Discrete Distributions25分钟
3.2, pt 2: Choosing Among Distributions: Continuous Distributions11分钟
3.3 Hypothesis Testing and Goodness of Fit22分钟
Reading2 个阅读材料
PDFs of Lecture Slides for Week 310分钟
Excel Files for Week 310分钟
Quiz1 个练习
Week 3: Choosing Fitting Distributions Quiz20分钟
4
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 2 小时

Week 4: Balancing Risk and Reward Using Simulation

This module is designed to help you use simulations to enabling compare different alternatives when continuous distributions are used to describe uncertainty. Through an in-depth examination of the simulation toolkit, you'll learn how to make decisions in high uncertainty settings where random inputs are described by continuous probability distributions. You'll also learn how to run a simulation model, analyze simulation output, and compare alternative decisions to decide on the most optimal solution. By the end of this module, you'll be able to make decisions and manage risk using simulation, and more broadly, to make successful business decisions in an increasing complex and rapidly evolving business world....
Reading
4 个视频 (总计 53 分钟), 2 个阅读材料, 1 个测验
Video4 个视频
4.2 Connecting Random Inputs and Random Outputs in a Simulation23分钟
4.3 Analyzing and Interpreting Simulation Output: Evaluating Alternatives Using Simulation Results10分钟
Course Conclusion25
Reading2 个阅读材料
PDFs of Lecture Slides10分钟
Excel files for Week 410分钟
Quiz1 个练习
Week 4: Using Simulations Quiz20分钟
4.6
159 个审阅Chevron Right
职业方向

20%

完成这些课程后已开始新的职业生涯
工作福利

21%

通过此课程获得实实在在的工作福利

热门审阅

创建者 JNApr 13th 2018

covers good amount of material and exactly what is in the outline, presented with enough detail to follow. Good walk-through of the spreadsheets helps understanding, easy to follow along and practice.

创建者 LCDec 19th 2016

Material was very well presented. Week 3 was challenging, but taking time to print out the slides, work through them rigorously proved very helpful. I found all sections very, very informative.

讲师

Avatar

Sergei Savin

Associate Professor of Operations, Information and Decisions
The Wharton School
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Senthil Veeraraghavan

Associate Professor of Operations, Information and Decisions
The Wharton School

关于 宾夕法尼亚大学

The University of Pennsylvania (commonly referred to as Penn) is a private university, located in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States. A member of the Ivy League, Penn is the fourth-oldest institution of higher education in the United States, and considers itself to be the first university in the United States with both undergraduate and graduate studies. ...

关于 商业与金融建模 专项课程

Wharton's Business and Financial Modeling Specialization is designed to help you make informed business and financial decisions. These foundational courses will introduce you to spreadsheet models, modeling techniques, and common applications for investment analysis, company valuation, forecasting, and more. When you complete the Specialization, you'll be ready to use your own data to describe realities, build scenarios, and predict performance....
商业与金融建模

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