Let's now talk about Public Capital Markets.
Well, what does that mean?
Imagine the following situation.
We will put a standard charts so this is the,
these are the investors and these are businesses that produce
demand for this money and imagine the following setup that these businesses say,
"We would like to take the money from you on the following terms.
You can engage either in the fixed income investment
or lending or you can participate in equity financing,
namely you can become our partners."
But, in this case,
if there is lending,
this is a special lending.
So here, we can see no collateral and I with have no insurance,
deposit insurance or you can
engage in equity financing and say,
Wait a minute, wait a minute."
In the second week of this course,
we analyzed the situation of equity financing and said that this is not realistic because
the project owner has always an incentive to
lie to the investor that the low state of the world occurred.
So how come? Now we observe in the reality,
huge stock markets will the volumes of dozens of trillions of US dollars.
So clearly something must be wrong here,
because stock markets are in essence equity markets.
Well, there is no contradiction as always because we said
that equity investing is unrealistic without monitoring,
with the presence of unobserved ability and if there
is any monitoring or if there is any observable to them they're quite realistic.
So, we can see that somehow we see that there is a new big skyscraper here that
probably will try to facilitate this process
and we so far do not know exactly how this works.
But what we do know is that,
there must be something that replaces these problems in
lending and sort of ensures at least sue the monitoring.
Now, so basically these people are said "Look,
you give us your money,
you have little protection,
if at all and you decide whether you participate or you don't."
Well there is a problem that investors,
these are the people who oftentimes have specific risk profile you can say well clearly
there are speculators or aggressive investors or
risk takers entrepreneurs all these kinds of people they do exist.
However, most of the people who have saved some money after having purchased a house,
after having sent their kids to college,
you know these people may be older,
these people may be more conservative and
these people are not satisfied with this tough terms.
Moreover, among these people there maybe not these small banks but
large banks and these are institutional investors.
So, these people have got these institutions they have guidelines.
So, they should invest in certain securities with some specific risk profile.
So, they may sometimes be openly prohibited from investing in very high risk instruments.
So, we see that here comes a problem of risk again and then,
these people and those people they should somehow
get something in exchange and they should feel
protected about some of the really poor outcomes in
the future and this something is insured by the fact that there is a market for them.
Put it like this. So see what happens,
let's say I would like to lend to these people without collateral,
without monitoring, without insurance.
I may not give a private loan,
but I might buy a bond because what is a bond?
The bond is a fixed income security that is issued
by the borrower and that does not carry any collateral,
but there is a market for those.
So let's say, I bought a bond a bond.
So I lent some money effectively to that and then I sit with his bond
and I do not control what happens with this company, the market does.
So, if everything is great then the bond price
behaves properly and there are other contributors to
this bond price that are independent of
the actual behavior and the actual financial situation of this borrow.
Let's say, if the interest rates go up,
then all bond prices go down and they
go down different rates depending upon the maturity,
from the duration and some other features that we'll talk about
in much greater detail in the final weeks of the next course,
then we study valuation.
But this story is, that I as an investor have the right to sell this bond
because there is active market in which these bonds are
bought and sold and if for any reason,
I would like to get out of this investing scheme,
I just sell this bond in the market to someone else
and this someone else now becomes the lender to the business.
So this ability is hugely important for investors,
because the market with higher liquidity and
liquidity here is somewhat different from liquidity to study of red triangles,
like with here means the ability to sell
the investment to someone else at a limited loss,
well maybe at the profit but this is a great case.
So, if and when I would like to get out of the first contract,
I don't have to negotiate with the borrower.
I just sell my bond and I'm out of this,
I get and get my cash.
So see what happens,
the existence of this market it serves as if you will sue
the insurance and that provides a way for me to get out,
if for any reason I would like to do so.
I saw a nightmare,
I need my cash earlier,
I just stopped believing in these businesses,
whatever and then I sell my bonds and then I'm out,
by the same token when it comes to the stock.
Indeed, I do not observe what's going on here,
but the market sort of watches there and again if for any reason,
I would like to stop being the equity investor in
this company I would like to stop being a shareholder and I like to get out,
if there exists a liquid market for
the stock I just sell it to someone else and then I'm out, that's it.
So you can see that the whole idea of public markets is very important here.
Now, the question only is.
Konstantin KontorDirector and Professor of Finance and Strategy
