be like the game as a whole, and that's just not going to happen.
Okay, so now, a really controversial issue.
Your team's up three.
The other team has the ball.
The clock is running out.
Should you foul them?
And I guess I had a student showing Vince I'll do some good work on this.
But again, it's hard to know what assumptions to
make about the various [INAUDIBLE] athletes.
You could foul the other team, and then they get the rebound.
I saw the Mavericks lose a game when they kicked it out.
It was Dwayne Wade, who never hits a three, hit a three.
Okay, one of the few Maverick games I ever went to was game
6 of the playoffs against the Phoenix Suns, the Mavs are up 2.
Steve Nash, a great three point shooter, is bringing the ball up.
Dirk is saying, foul him, foul him, foul him, Jason Terry doesn't foul him.
The Mavericks were up three.
Steve Nash hits the three and the Mavs lose in double-overtime and
they're eliminated.
And I mean Terry and Dirk had words after the game, I'm sure they made up, but
basically the only definitive study I've seen on this ending,
we'll see it's not really definitive, was on the [INAUDIBLE] blog,
which is great on college basketball stats, February 12th, 2013.
So if you're up three at the end of the game, should you foul or not?
So again, you can make all fancy assumptions about the chance of making
the shot, but what you should probably look at is when they foul,
how often do they win when they let him shoot the three, how often do they win.
And did the detailed analysis, so
usually teams will not foul at the end of the game, in college.
And again, the college three pointer is much easier than the pro three pointer.