Harry Harding and the Importance of US-China Relations

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来自 University of Virginia 的课程

Public Policy Challenges of the 21st Century

486 个评分

University of Virginia

Public Policy Challenges of the 21st Century

486 个评分

This course introduces class participants to the political significance and societal consequences of challenges facing U.S. and international policymakers. It is designed to help participants develop skills to analyze policy proposals and advocate for their preferred options for issues on the public policy agenda ahead. The class assumes basic knowledge about governing institutions and democratic processes, while recommending supplemental materials for further study to complement reading links provided. The course focuses on future policy challenges, while examining the broad historical context in which policies are adopted and implemented. As the course evaluates how issues are advanced by private sector interests, non-governmental organizations, and government policymakers, it examines how groups become effective policy advocates. Particular attention is paid to how winning coalitions are formed and how issue framing shapes the outcome of policy campaigns. The goal is neither to produce partisan talking points, nor to favor one governance philosophy over others. Rather it is to clarify the public policy challenges ahead and to enhance participants’ understanding of how policy options are adopted in the real world arena of contemporary politics.

从本节课中

US-China Relations

Professor Harry Harding details the complex, all-important relationship between the U.S. and China, outlining different scenarios for future competition and cooperation.

Student introduction to Harry Harding lecture on US-China Relations1:02

Gerry Warburg introduction to Harry Harding: Managing the US-China Relationship3:15

Harry Harding and the Importance of US-China Relations4:28

Harry Harding discusses the Cooperative Aspects of US-China Relations6:37

Harry Harding discusses the Competitive Aspects of US-China Relations13:40

Harry Harding discusses the Conflict Aspects of the US-China Relations7:20

Harry Harding summarizing the Competitive and Antagonistic Aspects of US-China Relations4:39

Harry Harding answers UVa Student Questions11:45

Gerry Warburg and Harry Harding Post Lecture Discussions3:45

与讲师见面

Professor Gerry Warburg
Professor of Public Policy, Assistant Dean for External Affairs
Frank Batten School of Leadership and Public Policy

I don't think it's difficult for

any of us to understand why the US China relationship is so important.

The two countries are the world's largest economies.

They are the largest contributors to global carbon emissions.

They have the world's largest military establishments, they are both

permanent members of the United Nations security council, they matter.

And therefore the relationship between them matters as well.

But what kind of relationship?

Is this important relationship going to be.

A second reason why managing it is so important,

is that the relations between the two countries are both complex and uncertain.

Consider the range of forecasts presented by some of

the most thoughtful observers in the two countries' foreign policy establishments.

Some foresee a coming strategic rivalry between them.

What some call a new cold war because of the differences and

the growing level of mistrust between the two countries.

Others express concern that territorial disputes between China and

American friends and allies in the Western Pacific could even give rise to

a military confrontation, into which the United States might be drawn.

Others, much more optimistic, foresee the inevitability of

a cooperative relationship between China and the United States,

arguing that the severity of global problems in the contemporary world.

Terrorism, climate change, pandemic diseases, humanitarian disasters,

financial crises and the like will demand solutions.

And will therefore compel Beijing and

Washington to cooperate in providing those solutions.

Some have gone even further, forecasting that China and

the US will in a way replace the G7 or G8.

And form a G2, a consortium of the world's two largest economies,

who will increasingly work together to manage the international economy and

protect the global commons.

Now as different as these two sets of forecasts are, one far more pessimistic,

the other far more optimistic.

They are relatively simple and straightforward, predicting either

an essentially cooperative relationship or an essentially antagonistic one.

But other analysts, myself included, argue that China and

the U.S.have such a complex set of common and divergent interests and

perspectives that their relationship will be equally complicated.

China and the U.S. have common concerns about some regional and

global issues, but their two societies are organized around different values and

different institutions.

Despite China's rapid growth and

growing prosperity, the two countries are at very different stages of development.

They apply different norms to international issues.

Their publics are highly nationalistic.

Their political elites do not have a high degree of mutual trust.

So, analysts who take this more complex approach to the US China relationship,

therefore predict that it will be a mixture, a blend of competition,

co-operation and potential conflict.

They then debate what the balance among those elements will be.

Which aspect will be more important, and which will be secondary.

Although that approach is superior to an analysis that attempts to forecast

a simpler relationship between the two countries, whether positive or negative.

There still is an important element missing in the analysis that I

want to emphasize today.

The key question is not just what blend of the positive and

the negative will characterize US, China relations?

But what kind of co-operation?

What kind of competition?

And if it comes to it, what kind of conflict the relationship will reflect?

If the different possibilities within each of these three types of relationships.

Some of which will be more beneficial and some will be

more costly than others that I want to explore in the remainder of my remarks.

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