Learn how probability, math, and statistics can be used to help baseball, football and basketball teams improve, player and lineup selection as well as in game strategy.

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来自 休斯敦大学系统 的课程

Math behind Moneyball

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Learn how probability, math, and statistics can be used to help baseball, football and basketball teams improve, player and lineup selection as well as in game strategy.

从本节课中

Module 4

You will learn how to evaluate baseball fielding, baseball pitchers, and evaluate in game baseball decision-making. The math behind WAR (Wins above Replacement) and Park Factors will also be discussed. Modern developments such as infield shifts and pitch framing will also be discussed.

- Professor Wayne WinstonVisiting Professor

Bauer College of Business

Okay, let's do a quick video on how to find [INAUDIBLE] fan graphs,

because it's a bit confusing, at least to me.

So you go to fangraphs.com.

I recommend Firefox.

My Explorer hasn't been working that well lately.

So you go to fangraphs.com.

Suppose you want some data on the 2014 [INAUDIBLE] okay.

So I'd go to Teams.

Okay I'd pick a year, suppose batting stats.

Batting 2014 maybe.

Okay now the key is go down hopefully, oh yeah, okay.

So find a team you want, and then you can find whatever you're looking for.

So now I'll go to Giants.

Okay, see now you've got.

Okay, that's going to give you.

It's got batting as the default, so I've got that.

Now something we're going to talk about, Win Probability,

you look on Win Probability For Batters.

We'll talk about what this means.

And where's, WPA is Win Probability.

Now, if you want pictures, you can click on Pitching, and

then you can export data by just clicking on Export Data.

[INAUDIBLE] just go to Pitching there,

okay you've got all your stats on Pitching, again, Win Probability we'll

talk about you might want to go to Wind Probability for Pitchers.

And if you want the fielding stuff we just talked about.

You go Fielding, and there is your Ultimate Zone Rating.

Again if I would put export data and I could just say open.

And then I've got all the stuff there I could edit this.

All I care about that really is that ultimate zone.

Okay, so that's a quick tutorial on how to use fangraphs to get the data for

a given team.

For all the players to see how important that is.

And many other videos that we're going to do.