课程信息
4.7
292 个评分
67 个审阅
100% 在线

100% 在线

立即开始,按照自己的计划学习。
可灵活调整截止日期

可灵活调整截止日期

根据您的日程表重置截止日期。
初级

初级

完成时间(小时)

完成时间大约为12 小时

建议:4 weeks of study; 3-4 hours/week...
可选语言

英语(English)

字幕:英语(English), 乌克兰语

您将获得的技能

Sunk CostsCost–Benefit AnalysisCognitive BiasDecision-MakingData AnalysisStatistical Inference
100% 在线

100% 在线

立即开始,按照自己的计划学习。
可灵活调整截止日期

可灵活调整截止日期

根据您的日程表重置截止日期。
初级

初级

完成时间(小时)

完成时间大约为12 小时

建议:4 weeks of study; 3-4 hours/week...
可选语言

英语(English)

字幕:英语(English), 乌克兰语

教学大纲 - 您将从这门课程中学到什么

1
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 1 小时

Introduction

Individuals and cultures can make themselves smarter. Since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, people have become enormously smarter. The Information Age requires a brand-new set of skills involving statistics, probability, cost-benefit analysis, principles of cognitive psychology, logic and dialectical reasoning....
Reading
1 个视频 (总计 15 分钟), 3 个阅读材料
Video1 个视频
Reading3 个阅读材料
Welcome Message and Course Principles from Professor Nisbett10分钟
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
Help us learn more about you!10分钟
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 1 小时

Lesson 1: Statistics

Basic concepts of statistics and probability including the concepts of variable, normal distribution, standard deviation, correlation, reliability, validity, and effect size. Concrete examples are drawn from everyday life and show how the concepts can be used to solve ordinary problems....
Reading
2 个视频 (总计 29 分钟), 2 个阅读材料, 1 个测验
Video2 个视频
Introduction to Correlation16分钟
Reading2 个阅读材料
Interactive Activity10分钟
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
Quiz1 个练习
Lesson 1 Quiz18分钟
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 1 小时

Lesson 2: The Law of Large Numbers

How to think about events in such a way that they can be counted and a decision can be made about how much data is enough. You will learn about the concept of error variance and how it can be combatted by obtaining multiple observations. Your will learn that your judgments about people’s personalities are prone to serious errors that are largely avoided for judgments about abilities. And you will discover why it’s usually a mistake to interview job applicants. ...
Reading
2 个视频 (总计 27 分钟), 2 个阅读材料, 4 个测验
Video2 个视频
The Law of Large Numbers: Part 215分钟
Reading2 个阅读材料
Interactive Activity10分钟
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
Quiz4 个练习
Pre-lecture Reflection Prompt5分钟
Pre-lecture Quiz5分钟
Lesson 2 Quiz12分钟
Post-lecture Reflection Prompt5分钟
2
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 1 小时

Lesson 3: Correlation

It can be extremely difficult to make an accurate assessment of how two variables are related to one another; prior beliefs can be more important than data in estimating the strength of a given relationship. You will learn simple tools to estimate degree of association. You will learn about the nature of illusory correlations and how to avoid them. You will learn about the concepts of confounded variable and self-selection error....
Reading
4 个视频 (总计 25 分钟), 3 个阅读材料, 2 个测验
Video4 个视频
The Draw-a-Person Test4分钟
Illusory Correlation6分钟
Confounded Variables; Statistical Significance9分钟
Reading3 个阅读材料
Pre-lecture Activity10分钟
Interactive Activity10分钟
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
Quiz2 个练习
Correlation Exercises10分钟
Lesson 3 Quiz10分钟
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 2 小时

Lesson 4: Experiments

You will learn that correlations can only rarely provide conclusive evidence about whether one variable exerts a causal influence on another and why experiments provide far better evidence about causality than correlations. You will be shown how to conduct experiments in business settings and experiments on yourself. You will learn the distinction between within subject designs and between subject designs. You will learn about the concept of artifacts and some tricks for avoiding them. You will learn how to discover natural experiments....
Reading
3 个视频 (总计 42 分钟), 2 个阅读材料, 1 个测验
Video3 个视频
A/B Testing9分钟
Experimental Design and Natural Experiments17分钟
Reading2 个阅读材料
Pre-lecture Activity5分钟
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
Quiz1 个练习
Lesson 4 Quiz26分钟
3
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 1 小时

Lesson 5: Prediction

You will learn about the kinds of systematic errors we make when trying to predict the future. You will learn about regression to the mean and why you should assume that extreme values on a variable will be less extreme when next observed. You will learn how to think about observations in terms of true score plus error. You will learn about the concept of base rate and why it must be taken into account when estimating probabilities of specific events....
Reading
2 个视频 (总计 40 分钟), 2 个阅读材料, 1 个测验
Video2 个视频
Base Rate22分钟
Reading2 个阅读材料
Pre-lecture Question5分钟
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
Quiz1 个练习
Lesson 5 Quiz8分钟
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 1 小时

Lesson 6: Cognitive Biases

We understand the world not through direct perception but through inferential procedures that we are unaware of. Our understanding of the world is heavily influenced by schemas or abstract representations of events. We are prone to serious judgment errors that can be avoided to a degree when we understand their basis. We make guesses about probability and causality by applying the representativeness heuristic based on similarity assessments which can be very misleading. We make judgments about frequency and probability by relying in part on the availability heuristic, judging things as frequent or probable to the degree that instances come readily to mind....
Reading
3 个视频 (总计 36 分钟), 1 个阅读材料, 2 个测验
Video3 个视频
Heuristics11分钟
Fundamental Attribution Error; Confirmation Bias11分钟
Reading1 个阅读材料
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
Quiz2 个练习
Pre-lecture Quiz5分钟
Lesson 6 Quiz22分钟
4
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 1 小时

Lesson 7: Choosing and Deciding

How to conduct a cost-benefit analysis. Why you should throw the analysis away after doing it if the decision is personal and very important. How to avoid throwing good money after bad. How to avoid doing something that will prevent you from doing something more valuable. Why it can be expensive to try to avoid the possibility of loss. Why incentives can backfire....
Reading
3 个视频 (总计 38 分钟), 1 个阅读材料, 2 个测验
Video3 个视频
Sunk Costs10分钟
Loss Aversion12分钟
Reading1 个阅读材料
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
Quiz2 个练习
Pre-lecture Activity5分钟
Lesson 7 Quiz14分钟
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 1 小时

Lesson 8: Logic and Dialectical Reasoning

The distinction between inductive logic and deductive logic. Syllogisms. Conditional reasoning. The distinction between truth of an argument and validity of an argument. The concepts of necessity and sufficiency. Venn diagrams. Common logical errors. When to avoid contradiction and when to embrace it, how to avoid undue certainty about judgments and decisions, and why attention to context rather than form is crucial for analysis of most real-world problems....
Reading
2 个视频 (总计 36 分钟), 1 个阅读材料, 2 个测验
Video2 个视频
Dialectical Reasoning16分钟
Reading1 个阅读材料
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
Quiz2 个练习
Pre-lecture Quiz8分钟
Lesson 8 Quiz20分钟
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 16 分钟

Conclusion

...
Reading
1 个视频 (总计 6 分钟), 2 个阅读材料
Video1 个视频
Reading2 个阅读材料
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
Post-course Survey10分钟
4.7
67 个审阅Chevron Right

热门审阅

创建者 NPAug 7th 2017

A very good course prof Richard has explained very difficult to understand concepts in a very simple language and made it easy for students to grasp the subject matter easily.

创建者 SNMay 27th 2017

Excellent! A very informative course delivered in a very effective manner. I would highly recommend this course to all who have any interest at all in critical thinking.

讲师

Avatar

Richard E. Nisbett

Theodore M. Newcomb Distinguished University Professor
Department of Psychology

关于 University of Michigan

The mission of the University of Michigan is to serve the people of Michigan and the world through preeminence in creating, communicating, preserving and applying knowledge, art, and academic values, and in developing leaders and citizens who will challenge the present and enrich the future....

常见问题

  • 注册以便获得证书后,您将有权访问所有视频、测验和编程作业(如果适用)。只有在您的班次开课之后,才可以提交和审阅同学互评作业。如果您选择在不购买的情况下浏览课程,可能无法访问某些作业。

  • 您购买证书后,将有权访问所有课程材料,包括评分作业。完成课程后,您的电子课程证书将添加到您的成就页中,您可以通过该页打印您的课程证书或将其添加到您的领英档案中。如果您只想阅读和查看课程内容,可以免费旁听课程。

还有其他问题吗?请访问 学生帮助中心