An Intuitive Introduction to Probability

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An Intuitive Introduction to Probability

University of Zurich

This course will provide you with an intuitive and practical introduction into Probability Theory. You will be able to learn how to apply Probability Theory in different scenarios and you will earn a "toolbox" of methods to deal with uncertainty in your daily life. The course is split in 5 modules. In each module you will first have an easy introduction into the topic, which will serve as a basis to further develop your knowledge about the topic and acquire the "tools" to deal with uncertainty. Additionally, you will have the opportunity to complete 5 exercise sessions to reflect about the content learned in each module and start applying your earned knowledge right away. The topics covered are: "Probability", "Conditional Probability", "Applications", "Random Variables", and "Normal Distribution". You will see how the modules are taught in a lively way, focusing on having an entertaining and useful learning experience! We are looking forward to see you online!...

100% 在线课程

立即开始，按照自己的计划学习。

可灵活调整截止日期

根据您的日程表重置截止日期。

初级

建议：You will have to invest about 3-4 hours per module to acquire the taught knowledge.

完成时间大约为13 小时

English

字幕：English

您将获得的技能

Bayes' TheoremNormal DistributionProbabilityConditional Probability

100% 在线课程

立即开始，按照自己的计划学习。

可灵活调整截止日期

根据您的日程表重置截止日期。

初级

建议：You will have to invest about 3-4 hours per module to acquire the taught knowledge.

完成时间大约为13 小时

English

字幕：English

教学大纲 - 您将从这门课程中学到什么

1

章节

完成时间为 4 小时

Probability

In this module we will learn about probabilities and perform our first calculations using probability formulas. We want to get comfortable with the idea that probabilities describe the chance of uncertain events occurring....

7 个视频（共 63 分钟）, 1 个阅读材料, 7 个测验

7 个视频

Welcome6分钟

Introduction5分钟

Definition and Rules12分钟

A First Look at Statistical Independence10分钟

Subjective Probabilities9分钟

Empirical Probabilities: Benford's Law11分钟

Exercise7分钟

1 个阅读材料

Script: Part 1分钟

7 个练习

Introductory Quiz2分钟

1.14分钟

1.26分钟

1.34分钟

1.44分钟

1.54分钟

1.64分钟

2

章节

完成时间为 3 小时

Conditional Probability

The arrival of new information may lead us to alter our probabilistic assessments of uncertain events. In this module, we will learn how the concept of "conditional" probabilities allows us to make these changes correctly. Script of the course can be found here: https://www.coursera.org/learn/introductiontoprobability/resources/qxi9W ...

6 个视频（共 54 分钟）, 1 个阅读材料, 6 个测验

6 个视频

Intuition8分钟

Definition7分钟

Multiplication Rules10分钟

Probability Tables9分钟

Bayes Rule10分钟

Exercise6分钟

1 个阅读材料

Script: Part 2分钟

6 个练习

2.14分钟

2.24分钟

2.34分钟

2.44分钟

2.54分钟

2.64分钟

3

章节

完成时间为 2 小时

Application

We will discuss some fascinating every-day applications of probability. In addition to entertaining examples, we will also review very serious applications from finance and law....

6 个视频（共 80 分钟）, 6 个测验

6 个视频

The Birthday Problem15分钟

The Monty Hall Problem11分钟

Structuring Risks: Part 113分钟

Structuring Risks: Part 28分钟

The Prosecutor's Fallacy15分钟

The Sad Story of Sally Clark16分钟

6 个练习

3.14分钟

3.22分钟

3.3.16分钟

3.3.24分钟

3.46分钟

3.56分钟

4

章节

完成时间为 4 小时

Discrete Random Variables

In this module we move beyond probabilities and learn about important summary measures such as expected values, variances, and standard deviations. We also learn about the most popular discrete probability distribution, the binomial distribution....

8 个视频（共 80 分钟）, 1 个阅读材料, 8 个测验

8 个视频

Discrete Random Variables11分钟

Expected Value12分钟

Measures of Dispersion8分钟

Application: Financial Model5分钟

Binomial Distribution17分钟

Application: Airline Overbooking11分钟

Exercise 16分钟

Exercise 25分钟

1 个阅读材料

Script: Part 4分钟

8 个练习

4.14分钟

4.24分钟

4.34分钟

4.44分钟

4.52分钟

4.64分钟

4.76分钟

4.84分钟

讲师

Karl Schmedders

Professor of Quantitative Business Administration

Department of Business Administration

关于 University of Zurich

Founded in 1833, the University of Zurich (UZH) is Switzerland’s largest university, with a current enrollment of over 26,000 students. Made up of seven faculties covering approximately 100 different subject areas, UZH is proud to offer the most comprehensive academic program in the country....

常见问题

When will I have access to the lectures and assignments?
Once you enroll for a Certificate, you’ll have access to all videos, quizzes, and programming assignments (if applicable). Peer review assignments can only be submitted and reviewed once your session has begun. If you choose to explore the course without purchasing, you may not be able to access certain assignments.
What will I get if I purchase the Certificate?
When you purchase a Certificate you get access to all course materials, including graded assignments. Upon completing the course, your electronic Certificate will be added to your Accomplishments page - from there, you can print your Certificate or add it to your LinkedIn profile. If you only want to read and view the course content, you can audit the course for free.
What is the refund policy?
Is financial aid available?

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An Intuitive Introduction to Probability

An Intuitive Introduction to Probability

100% 在线课程

可灵活调整截止日期

初级

建议：You will have to invest about 3-4 hours per module to acquire the taught knowledge.

English

您将获得的技能

100% 在线课程

可灵活调整截止日期

初级

建议：You will have to invest about 3-4 hours per module to acquire the taught knowledge.

English

教学大纲 - 您将从这门课程中学到什么

1

Probability

2

Conditional Probability

3

Application

4

Discrete Random Variables

20%

83%

热门审阅

讲师

Karl Schmedders

关于 University of Zurich

常见问题