This course will provide you with a basic, intuitive and practical introduction into Probability Theory. You will be able to learn how to apply Probability Theory in different scenarios and you will earn a "toolbox" of methods to deal with uncertainty in your daily life.
提供方
An Intuitive Introduction to Probability
苏黎世大学
课程信息
52,569 次近期查看
学生职业成果
25%
完成这些课程后已开始新的职业生涯
22%
通过此课程获得实实在在的工作福利
您将获得的技能
Bayes' TheoremNormal DistributionProbabilityConditional Probability
学生职业成果
25%
完成这些课程后已开始新的职业生涯
22%
通过此课程获得实实在在的工作福利
可分享的证书
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初级
完成时间大约为15 小时
建议：You will have to invest about 3-4 hours per module to acquire the taught knowledge.
英语（English）
字幕：英语（English）, 波斯语
教学大纲 - 您将从这门课程中学到什么
完成时间为 4 小时
Probability
In this module we will learn about probabilities and perform our first calculations using probability formulas. We want to get comfortable with the idea that probabilities describe the chance of uncertain events occurring.
完成时间为 4 小时
7 个视频 （总计 63 分钟）, 1 个阅读材料, 7 个测验
7 个视频
Welcome6分钟
Introduction5分钟
Definition and Rules12分钟
A First Look at Statistical Independence10分钟
Subjective Probabilities9分钟
Empirical Probabilities: Benford's Law11分钟
Exercise7分钟
1 个阅读材料
Script: Part 12小时
7 个练习
Introductory Quiz2分钟
1.14分钟
1.26分钟
1.34分钟
1.44分钟
1.54分钟
1.64分钟
完成时间为 3 小时
Conditional Probability
The arrival of new information may lead us to alter our probabilistic assessments of uncertain events. In this module, we will learn how the concept of "conditional" probabilities allows us to make these changes correctly. Script of the course can be found here: https://www.coursera.org/learn/introductiontoprobability/resources/qxi9W
完成时间为 3 小时
6 个视频 （总计 54 分钟）, 1 个阅读材料, 6 个测验
6 个视频
Intuition8分钟
Definition7分钟
Multiplication Rules10分钟
Probability Tables9分钟
Bayes Rule10分钟
Exercise6分钟
1 个阅读材料
Script: Part 22小时
6 个练习
2.14分钟
2.24分钟
2.34分钟
2.44分钟
2.54分钟
2.64分钟
完成时间为 2 小时
Application
We will discuss some fascinating every-day applications of probability. In addition to entertaining examples, we will also review very serious applications from finance and law.
完成时间为 2 小时
6 个视频 （总计 80 分钟）
6 个视频
The Monty Hall Problem11分钟
Structuring Risks: Part 113分钟
Structuring Risks: Part 28分钟
The Prosecutor's Fallacy15分钟
The Sad Story of Sally Clark16分钟
6 个练习
3.14分钟
3.22分钟
3.3.16分钟
3.3.24分钟
3.46分钟
3.56分钟
完成时间为 4 小时
Discrete Random Variables
In this module we move beyond probabilities and learn about important summary measures such as expected values, variances, and standard deviations. We also learn about the most popular discrete probability distribution, the binomial distribution.
完成时间为 4 小时
8 个视频 （总计 80 分钟）, 1 个阅读材料, 8 个测验
8 个视频
Expected Value12分钟
Measures of Dispersion8分钟
Application: Financial Model5分钟
Binomial Distribution17分钟
Application: Airline Overbooking11分钟
Exercise 16分钟
Exercise 25分钟
1 个阅读材料
Script: Part 42小时
8 个练习
4.14分钟
4.24分钟
4.34分钟
4.44分钟
4.52分钟
4.64分钟
4.76分钟
4.84分钟
审阅
4.7
来自AN INTUITIVE INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITY的热门评论
由 NS 提供Sep 16, 2017
Superb course. I am very impressed with the way the faculty explained real world examples through the probability concepts. I wish we can have more courses from him on statistics and machine learning.
由 PP 提供Apr 14, 2018
This COURSE is quite interesting to learn many new thing which has explained very interestingly by karl\n\nbut add more on this as many topics are missing in this course and teach more on excel part
由 RR 提供Jun 16, 2017
Amazing course to understand the nature of probability and its applications. Lecture delivery by Karl is fabulous and the efforts put in by Jose is highly appreciable. Hoping for an advance course.
由 RR 提供May 16, 2019
Excellent way of teaching. Clear Explanation of the topics with to the point discussion. Diverse applications of probability covered in one course. Definitely helpful in my office / research work.
由 AA 提供May 24, 2018
The course explains probability and normal distribution concepts in a way it is easier to follow. And makes it further easier using usual excel function. Very well taught course! A big thank you!!
由 UR 提供Nov 2, 2017
This course is an absolute GEM. I am glad I took it before my CFA preparation. I would highly recommend this course . I thoroughly enjoyed all the real time applications given by the professor!!!
由 HH 提供Feb 25, 2018
Really enjoyed this class. It gives a nice introduction to probability with engaging examples. It require that you have excel and in the later part you spend sometime solving exercises in Excel.
由 PK 提供Jul 28, 2017
Taught from a very practical standpoint with no math derivations or excessive theory. The use of Microsoft Excel made it very easy to calculate probabilities. This course has numerous ral-world
由 CE 提供Mar 28, 2017
This course is great. Karl is really smart and funny. I hope he makes more courses. Thanks Karl!\n\nps. I thought I had already rated it, but don't see my star count and it deserves every star!
由 NM 提供Jul 4, 2017
It is a gentle introduction to probability. The professor and the teaching assistant are excellent. This indeed is a intuitive introduction to probability, I would highly recommend this course.
由 SM 提供Jan 10, 2018
Excellent explanations, clear, concise and fun. Best course I found on basic probability, really entertained me and got me stuck to the computer wanting to learn more. Definitely recommended!
由 AJ 提供Jul 24, 2019
The course provides introduction to probability in a very interesting manner along with the common misinterpretations of it as well.\n\nGo for it to clear your basics of probability.
由 LG 提供Jun 15, 2017
All the concepts and examples are taught very intuitive and accessible. One can also find useful Excel hints for calculating probabilities. Many thanks to the authors of the course!
由 SM 提供Sep 13, 2017
This course was very well taught. Without using much of Math, the instructor has given a good feel for probability. Would recommend this course to anyone interested in probability.
由 BT 提供Sep 2, 2017
The course is really really intuitive, I'm from Mechanical Engineering and I still find this to be interesting, despite the fact that some of the examples are focused on business.
由 AT 提供Sep 17, 2017
A really excellent class- I learned a good deal about probability and (more importantly) really felt like I *finally* understood things! The professor and TA were very good too.
由 PR 提供Jul 13, 2019
I thoroughly enjoyed this course. Mr. Karl is a wonderful teacher. I would love to know if there are more advanced versions of this course which I can take up. Thanks again.
由 RB 提供Mar 1, 2020
Excellent course, thoroughly enjoyed learning statistics, very straightforward, excellent presenters engaged me in the work. Highly recommended. I want to continue learning
由 NS 提供Feb 26, 2019
Thoroughly enjoyed the course! After this course I feel confident to learn more about probability as it doesn't seem intimidating as it did before I started . Many Thanks!
由 KH 提供Oct 22, 2018
Nice intuition about probability that can help you to understand the problems in daily life, and how to solve it. Appreciate the teacher of this class for best intuition.
提供方
苏黎世大学
Founded in 1833, the University of Zurich (UZH) is Switzerland’s largest university, with a current enrollment of over 26,000 students. Made up of seven faculties covering approximately 100 different subject areas, UZH is proud to offer the most comprehensive academic program in the country.
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