课程信息
4.8
1,154 个评分
246 个审阅
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100% 在线

立即开始,按照自己的计划学习。
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完成时间(小时)

完成时间大约为32 小时

建议:4-8 hours/week...
可选语言

英语(English)

字幕:英语(English), 阿拉伯语(Arabic), 乌克兰语, 中文(简体), 巴西葡萄牙语, 土耳其语(Turkish)...

您将获得的技能

ModelingEconomicsDecision-MakingStrategic Thinking
100% 在线

100% 在线

立即开始,按照自己的计划学习。
可灵活调整截止日期

可灵活调整截止日期

根据您的日程表重置截止日期。
完成时间(小时)

完成时间大约为32 小时

建议:4-8 hours/week...
可选语言

英语(English)

字幕:英语(English), 阿拉伯语(Arabic), 乌克兰语, 中文(简体), 巴西葡萄牙语, 土耳其语(Turkish)...

教学大纲 - 您将从这门课程中学到什么

1
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 3 小时

Why Model & Segregation/Peer Effects

In these lectures, I describe some of the reasons why a person would want to take a modeling course. These reasons fall into four broad categories: 1)To be an intelligent citizen of the world 2) To be a clearer thinker 3) To understand and use data 4) To better decide, strategize, and design. There are two readings for this section. These should be read either after the first video or at the completion of all of the videos.We now jump directly into some models. We contrast two types of models that explain a single phenomenon, namely that people tend to live and interact with people who look, think, and act like themselves. After an introductory lecture, we cover famous models by Schelling and Granovetter that cover these phenomena. We follows those with a fun model about standing ovations that I wrote with my friend John Miller. ...
Reading
12 个视频 (总计 124 分钟), 6 个阅读材料, 1 个测验
Video12 个视频
Why Model?8分钟
Intelligent Citizens of the World11分钟
Thinking More Clearly10分钟
Using and Understanding Data10分钟
Using Models to Decide, Strategize, and Design15分钟
Sorting and Peer Effects Introduction5分钟
Schelling's Segregation Model11分钟
Measuring Segregation11分钟
Peer Effects6分钟
The Standing Ovation Model18分钟
The Identification Problem10分钟
Reading6 个阅读材料
Welcome10分钟
Grading Policy10分钟
Course FAQ10分钟
Syllabus10分钟
Help us learn more about you!10分钟
Segregation and Peer Effects10分钟
Quiz1 个练习
Why Model? & Segregation and Peer Effects12分钟
2
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 3 小时

Aggregation & Decision Models

In this section, we explore the mysteries of aggregation, i.e. adding things up. We start by considering how numbers aggregate, focusing on the Central Limit Theorem. We then turn to adding up rules. We consider the Game of Life and one dimensional cellular automata models. Both models show how simple rules can combine to produce interesting phenomena. Last, we consider aggregating preferences. Here we see how individual preferences can be rational, but the aggregates need not be.There exist many great places on the web to read more about the Central Limit Theorem, the Binomial Distribution, Six Sigma, The Game of Life, and so on. I've included some links to get you started. The readings for cellular automata and for diverse preferences are short excerpts from my books Complex Adaptive Social Systems and The Difference Respectively....
Reading
12 个视频 (总计 138 分钟), 1 个阅读材料, 1 个测验
Video12 个视频
Aggregation10分钟
Central Limit Theorem18分钟
Six Sigma5分钟
Game of Life14分钟
Cellular Automata18分钟
Preference Aggregation12分钟
Introduction to Decision Making5分钟
Multi-Criterion Decision Making8分钟
Spatial Choice Models11分钟
Probability: The Basics10分钟
Decision Trees14分钟
Value of Information8分钟
Reading1 个阅读材料
Decision Models10分钟
Quiz1 个练习
Aggregation & Decision Models16分钟
3
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 3 小时

Thinking Electrons: Modeling People & Categorical and Linear Models

In this section, we study various ways that social scientists model people. We study and contrast three different models. The rational actor approach, behavioral models, and rule based models . These lectures provide context for many of the models that follow. There's no specific reading for these lectures though I mention several books on behavioral economics that you may want to consider. Also, if you find the race to the bottom game interesting just type "Rosemary Nagel Race to the Bottom" into a search engine and you'll get several good links. You can also find good introductions to "Zero Intelligence Traders" by typing that in as well....
Reading
12 个视频 (总计 130 分钟), 1 个阅读材料, 1 个测验
Video12 个视频
Rational Actor Models16分钟
Behavioral Models12分钟
Rule Based Models12分钟
When Does Behavior Matter?12分钟
Introduction to Linear Models4分钟
Categorical Models15分钟
Linear Models8分钟
Fitting Lines to Data11分钟
Reading Regression Output11分钟
From Linear to Nonlinear6分钟
The Big Coefficient vs The New Reality11分钟
Reading1 个阅读材料
Categorical and Linear Models10分钟
Quiz1 个练习
Modules Thinking Electrons: Modeling People & Categorical and Linear Models20分钟
4
完成时间(小时)
完成时间为 3 小时

Tipping Points & Economic Growth

In this section, we cover tipping points. We focus on two models. A percolation model from physics that we apply to banks and a model of the spread of diseases. The disease model is more complicated so I break that into two parts. The first part focuses on the diffusion. The second part adds recovery. The readings for this section consist of two excerpts from the book I'm writing on models. One covers diffusion. The other covers tips. There is also a technical paper on tipping points that I've included in a link. I wrote it with PJ Lamberson and it will be published in the Quarterly Journal of Political Science. I've included this to provide you a glimpse of what technical social science papers look like. You don't need to read it in full, but I strongly recommend the introduction. It also contains a wonderful reference list....
Reading
13 个视频 (总计 132 分钟), 1 个阅读材料, 1 个测验
Video13 个视频
Percolation Models11分钟
Contagion Models 1: Diffusion7分钟
Contagion Models 2: SIS Model9分钟
Classifying Tipping Points8分钟
Measuring Tips13分钟
Introduction To Growth6分钟
Exponential Growth10分钟
Basic Growth Model13分钟
Solow Growth Model11分钟
Will China Continue to Grow?11分钟
Why Do Some Countries Not Grow?11分钟
Piketty's Capital: The Power of Simple Model8分钟
Reading1 个阅读材料
Economic Growth10分钟
Quiz1 个练习
Modules Tipping Points & Economic Growth18分钟
4.8
246 个审阅Chevron Right
职业方向

10%

完成这些课程后已开始新的职业生涯
工作福利

11%

通过此课程获得实实在在的工作福利

热门审阅

创建者 GKFeb 25th 2017

Great content and lectures, that possibly provides new dimensions to look/explain the situation in context, I guess I will comeback for references to continue with this journey in to 'Model Thinking'

创建者 ATJun 7th 2016

Wonderful course and equally wonderful instructor. I really like how Scott builds up from a very simple model and by explaining the intuition behind how we got the math, explains the maths.

讲师

Avatar

Scott E. Page

Professor of Complex Systems, Political Science, and Economics
Center for the Study of Complex Systems

关于 University of Michigan

The mission of the University of Michigan is to serve the people of Michigan and the world through preeminence in creating, communicating, preserving and applying knowledge, art, and academic values, and in developing leaders and citizens who will challenge the present and enrich the future....

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